Strong Category 3 Hurricane Floyd Moving Towards Florida
04:50 PM EDT - 12 September 1999

Mini Update 6:00PM: The 12Z GFDL model turns Floyd to the right much sooner than previous runs and may be some hope for us. Tomorrow will be decision day for many.

Mini Update 5:20PM: There is a good chance we will see a hurricane watch up for areas in Florida later tonight (11PM advisory) or early tomorrow morning.

Prepare to Prepare.

Floyd has the potential to make a killer run up the east coast with a start in our area in Florida. Timeframe is for the closest approach Tuesday Night. There is still a great deal of uncertainty in the future track. Note the increase in Forward speed from 12 to 14Mph. Not good.

Models continue to suggest a near landfall in Central Florida. A slight jog to the west would be enough for a full landfall. Either way there is enough to cause major problems here. Especially as strong category 3 storm (forecasted to 4). I'm beginning preps myself tomorrow and Tuesday. So these will most likely be a sporadic post day. I'd rather be prepared even if it curves.

I don't want to be an alarmist, but I also don't want to understate the trouble a category 4 hurricane can cause on populated coastal areas.

Also, Gert is almost a hurricane and moving west. We'll have time to watch it later.

For East Central Florida residents and guests looking for more information such as Evacuation Routes and Planning tips see the following pages: [Brevard] [Volusia] [Flagler] [Indian River] [Inland] [News Media]
These have links to the county sites which gives evacuation information and shelter locations.

Also our links page has links to other areas in Florida -- look for the Emergency Management County pages.

For more information on Hurricane Floyd see the Current Storm Spotlight for Hurricane Floyd.
For more information on Gert see the Current Storm Spotlight for Gert.
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics for Floyd.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Floyd and for Gert
Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson

Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Floyd Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

- [mac]