More Info on Floyd
09:00 PM EDT - 12 September 1999
Update 11PMLast update for tonght. No change in thinking. No watches yet, but they are expected tomorrow morning (5AM). Tomorrow will be the big decision day. Frankly, it doesn't look all that great. Some models give hope for a turn, but right now the storm is STILL moving West at 14MPH. Good night and pray for better news tomorrow.
Pressure down to 931mb
Reposted from RobertS723@aol.com with apologies in advance. Normally I don't repost but this situation will be the exception.
HURRICANE FLOYD SIGNIFICANTLY STRENGTHENED OVER THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS AND IS NOW A POWERFUL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE CAPABLE OF CAUSING EXTENSIVE DAMAGE.
THE SYNOPTIC REASONING BEHIND THE OFFICIAL FORECAST REMAINS THE SAME AS 48 HRS AGO.....WITH AN APPROACHING TROF WHICH IS FORECAST TO PINCH OFF THE EASTERN RIDGE RESULTING IN A WEAKNESS TO FORM NORTH OF FLOYD AND TURN THE HURRICANE TOWARDS THE NORTH. HOWEVER....IT IS UNCERTAIN AS TO WHERE AND WHEN THIS NORTHWARD TURN WILL OCCUR.
THE OFFICIAL TPC FORECAST TAKES FLOYD TO THE FLORIDA EAST COAST WITHIN 72 HRS. IN RESPONSE TO THIS FACT.....THE FLORIDA STATE EOC IS AT LEVEL 2 ACTIVATION STATUS IN PREPARATION FOR A POTENTIAL CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE LANDFALL. AS OF 5:00 PM EDT THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES ARE ACTIVATED AND REPORT THE FOLLOWING:
NASSAU, DUVAL COUNTIES: EOC MONITORING PROGRESS OF FLOYD....WILL MAKE PREPARATION DECISIONS EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
ST JOHNS, FLAGLER COUNTIES: SPECIAL NEEDS EVACUATIONS ANTICIPATED MONDAY AFTERNOON.
VOLUSA COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....SPECIAL NEEDS EVAC MAY BE REQUIRED MONDAY. FULL EVACUATION PROJECTED FOR TUESDAY.
BREVARD COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....WILL ENTER LEVEL 2 ACTIVATION 8:00 AM MONDAY. CONFERENCE CALL SCHEDULED FOR 8:00 AM MONDAY. SPECIAL NEEDS EVAC MAY BE REQUIRED MONDAY AFTERNOON.
INDIAN RIVER COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....ALL PREPARATION DECISIONS WILL BE MADE BY 8:00 AM MONDAY.
ST. LUCIE COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....CONFERENCE CALL SCHEDULED FOR 8:00 AM MONDAY. SPECIAL NEEDS EVAC ANTICIPATED MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MARTIN COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....CONFERENCE CALL SCHEDULED 8:00 AM MONDAY. DEPENDING UPON WATCHES/WARNINGS....SPECIAL NEEDS EVAC MAY BEGIN MONDAY AFTERNOON....WITH VOLUNTEER EVAC REQUIRED TUESDAY MORNING.
PALM BEACH COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE.....ALL PROTECTIVE ACTION DECISIONS WILL BE MADE BY 8:00 AM MONDAY.
BROWARD COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....ALL DECISIONS WILL BE MADE BY 8:00 AM MONDAY. WILL GO TO LEVEL 2 STATUS NOON MONDAY.
DADE COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....CONFERENCE CALL SCHEDULED FOR 7:00 AM MONDAY. SPECIAL NEEDS AND VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS ANTICIPATED FOR TUESDAY.
MONROE COUNTY: EOC ACTIVE....CONFERENCE CALL SCHEDULED FOR 8:00 AM MONDAY....WILL MAKE PREPARATION DECISIONS EARLY MONDAY MORNING.
**** ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE EAST COAST SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OFHURRICANE FLOYD. FOLLOW ALL RECOMMENDATIONS FROM LOCAL AUTHORITIES. BELOW ARE SOME TIPS ON HOW TO PREPARE FOR A HURRICANE:
Preparation for a Power Outage - - Check the working condition of flashlights, batteries and battery-powered radios. Should power go out in your area, a working battery-powered radio may be your only way to get outside information. Also, in the event of a power failure, flashlights may be your only source of light.
NOAA Weather Radio - - Make sure the radio you buy is both electric and battery powered in case you lose electricity.
Adequate Supply of Food and Water - - Make sure you have enough non-perishable food and water on hand for one to two weeks. In the event of a catastrophic storm, you could be without power for at least that long. It is recommended that you have one gallon of water per person, per day.
Supplies to Protect Your Home - - Buy and store materials, such as plywood and plastic, to secure your home in the event of a storm.
Inspection of Your Home’s Exterior - - Check the area around your home for potential problems. Make sure rain gutters and spouts are secure and not clogged. Inspect the roof for loose tiles, shingles, or debris. Keep trees and shrubbery well trimmed and remove any dead or dying branches. Make sure any loose items, such as garbage cans, lawn furniture, or plants, are taken inside or tied down.
Making Plans for Your Boat - - If you own a boat, make sure you know where you will move it in the event of an approaching storm.
Securing Important Documents - - Gather insurance policies and other important documents and store in a safe, dry place. It is also recommended that you inventory your property, on video tape if possible, and store it with these documents. You may also want to send copies to a relative out of the area.
Having Quick Access to Emergency Numbers - - Post emergency telephone numbers near your phone. Remember, do not call 911 unless you have a real emergency. Also, teach children how to make long-distance phone calls and how and when to call 911.
Preparation for Possible Evacuation - - Anyone who lives in a coastal storm surge area, in low-lying flood-prone areas or in a mobile home should be prepared to evacuate if instructed to do so by local officials. If you are in an area that is likely to be evacuated, contact friends or family members who live inland and make plans to stay with them. Know the evacuation routes, plan to leave with plenty of time to get to a safe place, and review these plans with your family. You should also know where public shelters are located in your area. Public shelters do not allow pets, so make alternate arrangements if necessary. In addition, anyone who is at risk for medical reasons could be forced to evacuate. At-risk people should register now with their county emergency management office.
Weather enthusiasts who have access to a shortwave radio may want to tune to 14.325 Mhz USB. (upper sideband)
This is the network frequency for the Hurricane Watch Network, a Nationwide Network of Volunteer Amateur radio Operators who provide information to the National Hurricane Center in Florida.
This emergency information network is now active for Hurricane Floyd.
For East Central Florida residents and guests looking for more information such as Evacuation Routes and Planning tips see the following pages: [Brevard] [Volusia] [Flagler] [Indian River] [Inland] [News Media]
These have links to the county sites which gives evacuation information and shelter locations.
Also our links page has links to other areas in Florida -- look for the Emergency Management County pages.
For more information on Hurricane Floyd see the Current Storm Spotlight for Hurricane Floyd.
For more information on Gert see the Current Storm Spotlight for Gert.
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics for Floyd.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Floyd and for Gert
Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images:
Floyd Centered imagery.
[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.