CFHC Talkback For News Story #111:
Newest Talkback: 12:59 AM 09-21 EDT

Tropical Storm Harvey Strengthens
02:36 PM EDT - 20 September 1999

It may reach minimal hurricane strength before it takes a route through Central Florida. We may actually see more effect out of this than we did Floyd. Not in the form of severe damage, but rather flooding and wind. It could be nasty tomorrow.

Tropical Storm Watches are now up for East Central Florida from Flagler to Jupiter and Warnings up from Suwanee River, FL to Bonita Beach as well (Along with Hurricane Watches). Folks along the west coast may not want to hang around on the barrier islands or anywhere you know it tends to flood. Ie, prepare for a category 1 or 2 hurricane -- it may deepen.

For more information on Harvey see the Current Storm Spotlight for Harvey.
For more information on Gert see the Current Storm Spotlight for Gert.
NRL Monterey Tracking Site (Navy) -- Very nice forecast track graphics.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
GFDL Model & Plot for Gert and for Harvey
Gert Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson
Harvey Multiple Model Forecast Composite from Michael Bryson

Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: Storm Centered imagery.

[N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [jc]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #5 (of 5 total)
Harvey (#1)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 02:50PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXTNRSW*)

Hello all,,thanks again to all who emailed me about my correct perdictions for these storms.

Harvey, is strengthening slowly but steadily. He still has dry air opn his western edge,,but he is becoming more consintated near the main convection. Hurricane watches should be upgraded to warnings by later tonight.

Now harvey is still only drifting east...a more steady movement towards to east-northeast should bein later tonight and speed up through tuesday as he crosses florida. Winds are now around 60mph,,and he should be as strong as 70 tonight and 75-80, by morning.../ Tropical systems note generally get stronger over the night time period,,also he is moving towards the centraldense-overcast(heavy rain). Harvey should come inland around Pasco copunty between 10am-12pm on tuesday. Winds again should be around 80mph. He should be around the Daytona Beach area by evening with winds around 60mph. He will quickly move out to sea, and give minor affect to the Carolinas,,they're rain wiull be due to the front coming down the US.

Note::: for people in Western florida need to take this Hurricane as a storm hitting the East Coast of florida with winds of 100mph and moviong in there direction,,,,,, so prepare tonight for tomorrow things will be trecheres.

My next update on Harvey should be around10-11pm .


scottsvb
Harvey (#2)
Posted by: Ronn Raszetnik, Jr. Location: Largo, Florida
Posted On 04:32PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPWNVYNRUTNTS*)

The rains have commenced big time here in Pinellas county during the mid afternoon hours. My rain guage is approaching 1.5 inches thus far ,and with Harvey still well offshore, the rain totals will continue to pile up. All schools in Pinellas county have closed for tomorrow and a voluntary level A evacuation is in effect.

God Bless You,
Ronn Raszetnik, Jr.
SOON TO BE HURRICANE HARVEY (#3)
Posted by: Mike Anderson (http://www.fortunecity.com/greenfield/tigris/622/weather/ectwp.htm)
Posted On 07:27PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYSNQWY*)

Good afternoon im going to make this post as short as i can, let's get to HARVEY. the system is getting ahead of itself and the main convection is out to the east, however the center looks to me like it has started to reform under the convection, this system will be a major problem for the treasure coast and i know i have been hounding on that area for the last 2 systems but from what im seeing it really should be. Why i feel that way is because the convection is to the south and east of the core and this is going to swing toward the treasure coast, im expecting at the least Hurricane force winds and inbedded tornados as this area swing's to the east, also on the latest loop it sure looks like the center has started to swing south east as well, folks living on the east side of the treasure coast please be ready for nasty weather coming in late tonight and on through tomorrow, a hurricane watch (ie) warning should be posted later tonight, Mike Anderson Florida WX.
rain in o-town (#4)
Posted by: clyde w Location: orlando
Posted On 08:59PM 20-Sep-1999 with id (RPVNQPTNRPTNXR*)

Harvey has given us 5.01 inches of rain in the last 48 hours at my location. We have seen some minor flash flooding to the northwest of here in Longwood and Apopka, mainly near the Little Wekiva River. It looks like rain is going to be the main factor, with some isolated severe weather (tornadoes), although Harvey is looking a little better organized again this evening--personally, it kind of reminds me of Earl last year, with all of the convection and energy to the southeast of the center. Not pretty to look at either. Take care everyone, this will be a bit rougher than Floyd for us in the central part of the state.
Harvey (#5)
Posted by: scottsvb
Posted On 12:59AM 21-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRSNQXUNX*)



Harvey is more bark than the bite.......models have greeatly overplay this system,,,,,,so have we all,,,,,,the battle from the beginning was between the dry air and the moist air.....we all know who won.

The dry air in the layers of the atmosphere have rapped in to harvey and pushed the convection off to the southeast. It actually even squeezed the moisture out of him.

Harvey will not become a hurricane,,more less be more than 50mph when it reaches landfall.....note now he could become strong again when he moves toward Bermuda 2 days from now,,,,but as for florida,,,,we can all play this off.

What happend to him
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