CFHC Talkback For News Story #124:
Newest Talkback: 06:47 AM 10-01 EDT

Keith Strengthens
04:46 PM EDT - 30 September 2000

Hurricane Keith has developed an Eye and is looking very impressive on the satellite. It has strengthened to a category 2 hurricane with 100MPH winds. It is projected to clip the NE tip of the Yucatan moving North Northwest as a Category 3 storm.

Keith's movement is still almost non-existant. Belize still has Hurricane Warnings up, and the Yucatan as well. Trends still suggest that it will wind up in the Gulf and eventually affect land between Lousiana and the Western coast of Florida. Keith has the potential to be one of the few "event" storms, so all eyes need to be on it anywhere in the Northwest Caribbean and Gulf. To be painfully redundant, it still isn't moving and until a trend is spotted it is all speculation. This may take a few days, so we'll be watching it very very closely.

Joyce is still a very weak tropical storm and may have trouble surviving into the Caribbean. Its weakened state has allowed it to slide westward and into the Caribbean. I'm not sure it will ever restregthen, but it will need to be watched. Isaac's nearing the end of its life as a tropical system, and will soon be an extratropical one.

More thoughts to come on this as time goes by...

Keith in the afternoon!

Comments or Questions? Everyone is invited to use it. Use the comment button by the story Headline.


NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)
Map with nearly all model projected tracks plotted for Isaac., Joyce, or Keith From Michael Bryson.
Crown Weather Services Tropical Update (Includes Map with multiple forecast model tracks)
Snonut's Hurricane Reports
Other commentary at: Mike Anderson's East Coast Tropical Weather Center - Stormwarn2000 - SCOTTSVB's Hurricane Update Center - Jim Williams' Hurricane City - Gary Gray's Millennium Weather - Even More on our Links Page
Satellite images at: [Visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [Infrared] (infrared), and [Water Vapor] (water vapor)
Loops: Visible Loop - Infrared Loop - Water Vapor Loop
NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:
[NAtl visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [NAtl infrared] (infrared), and [NAtl water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.
Defiant Visible Infrared More...
Ocean Surface Winds Derived from the SeaWinds Scatterometer (Experimental)
StormCarib.com has reports from folks in the Caribbean islands themselves and is worth checking out when storms approach the Caribbean.
Ouragans.com Français -- L'information sur des ouragans comprenant beaucoup de liens.
Tormenta.net Español -- Gran información sobre huracanes aquí.
Live Webcam image from Florida Emergency Management's Emergency Operations Center
Florida Emergency Management Activation Page / Situation Updates

Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
AVN, ECMWF, GFDL, NOGAPS, UKMET

- [mac]


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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #1 (of 22 total)

Powerful Keith (#1)
Posted by: Joe Location: St.Petersburg, Fl
Posted On 05:17PM 30-Sep-2000 with id (RQVNSNQXRNQTS*)


This storm will reach Cat 3 Strength.I think it will slowly start moving North-Northwest in the next 12-18hrs.And I do think it will come in near Cozumel and then make a turn more towards the N-NE because of some stronger west winds off the coast of the Yucatan.Never the less this could become a very strong Hurricane.My thinking is somewhere between Louisiana and the west coast of Florida. But this is still a bit to far out to tell where it will go.May have a better idea of where it will go Monday.I do think a impact in the eastern Gulf will be around Mid to late Week...... Joe

Notes (#2)
Posted by:
Mike C. (http://flhurricane.com) Location: Newport News, VA (Currently)
Posted On 05:24PM 30-Sep-2000 with id (RTNRNUSNVY*)


I went ahead and added New Orleans and Mobile back into the popup lists. It gets big, I know, but it's good to get discussions from different points of view on the storm. Worst case is New Orleans, I think- but if it does affect the US Gulf coast, I tend to think a bit east. Still too much speculation involved.


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