More on TD#2
09:58 AM EDT - 12 July 2001
Tropical Depression #2 is looking a litte different this morning, a little more concentrated and more tropical looking. I expect to see Barry today.
For it's future, it now appears as if it will head to the Eastern Leeward islands an a minor system. Many models have it entering and staying in the Caribbean. Climatology isn't favorible for it, and if it does creep north it'll have to deal with the mountains of Hispaniola.
It won't get much chance to strengthen over that Island. There is enough to suggest it could reach minor hurricane strength, so folks will need to watch.
Persistence again will be paramount. Beyond that, it still could effect Florida in some way next week if the stalled out front does not itself. But if it does go through the caribbean and Hispaniola it won't have enough to recover. In any case, the Caribbean needs to watch this one very closely for right now, and we may later depending on what path this thing takes. It probably won't touch us at all, but the chance is still there so I mention it.