CFHC Talkback For News Story #65:
Newest Talkback: 05:37 PM 08-21 EDT

Hurricane Warnings now up for North Mexico / South Texas Coast
10:44 AM EDT - 21 August 1999

Windspeed of Bret hasn't changed, official forecast moved slightly northward. Warnings are now up for La Pesca, Mexico up to Baffin Bay, TX. Forecast has it making landfall as a Strong Category 2 or 3 storm. The rest of Texas should monitor it as well, some models keep the storm in the Gulf longer.

For more information on Cindy see the
Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on BRET see the Current Storm Spotlight for Bret.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.

- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #3 (of 3 total)

Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 11:22AM 21-Aug-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNUQ*)

BRET is starting to move a bit more to the north again , looks like the ridge to the north will hold , this should bring BRET very close to BROWNSVILLE , CORPUS CHRISTI area , but all other people north of that area should also be getting ready , CINDY is well on her way as i last noted and looking at the latest loop im not sure if we dont already have hurricane CINDY out there , last but not least is the wave that is flearing up east of the lesser antilles , some models are developing this system and moveing it toward the south east coast, if this is the case than folks in the south east need to be watching now ,this is the time to be getting ready, remember failing to plan is PLANING TO FAIL , Mike Anderson Florida wx

Bret Moving more NNE? (#2)
Posted by: AubieCane
Posted On 05:07PM 21-Aug-1999 with id (QURNQVSNQYUNQYT*)

Looks like on sattelite that Bret is moving more NNE.

Bret (#3)
Posted by: Thomas Wells Location: Houston, TX
Posted On 05:37PM 21-Aug-1999 with id (QURNQVSNQYTNRPW*)

You have to wonder somtimes if TPC is just wishing or what. Last advisory says movement is 345 degrees. Coord 24.1/95.1, however looking at the NRL high res photo the center is clearly further north and possibly east of 95. Looking at the pictures all afternoon and BRO radar loop shows what appears to be an almost due north motion. If this keeps up the people further north on the TX coast are going to have less time to prepare. It seems that TPC is throwing all their eggs in the Northeast Mexico/Brownsville area basket. I understand they have many numerical models, but I have plotted every forecast track they have put out on Bret and compared them with the actual track and so far the performance of the models has been poor at best. Every forecast has turned the system drasticly west and to this point it has'nt happened. Just my thoughts, any other comments?

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