Cindy, Dennis & Emily.. (feel free to comment)
05:19 PM EDT - 24 August 1999
Somwhat of a surprise to return back home to not one, but TWO new Tropical Storms. Dennis has formed in from TD#5 and Emily has formed from a disurbance east of the Islands.
Emily is sitting and spinning and may cause the Caribbean a headache soon. And Cindy is still making a move toward the west, but still the furthest out.
In the east Atlantic is another wave that may form within 2 days. (4 storms at once? Pretty possible)
Of course, Tropical Storm Dennis, the most immediate threat. It's moving west northwest now and Storm Watches are up for a portion of the Bahamas. The $10,000,000 question... Where will it go? NHC's thought. In 72 hours it is 200 miles EAST of Daytona Beach, Florida. And will miss us. However this is not set in stone yet, and it will be a very close call, so it is imperitive we watch it. Most forecasting models (With a few exceptions) are now in agreement that it takes it north of us. Too far to say exactly where. Like Bertha (1995) and other storms in the past, the timing of the TURN will make or break us. This line of thinking gives the folks in North Carolina's coast something to worry about again--and they have had more than the fair share lately. Florida is NOT in an all clear--don't go to sleep on this one. I regret I will be fairly busy until Thursday Night so site updates will be sporadic. (I'll use any chance I get, however). Use the comment capability below the story headline to comment and discuss this, because I need some thoughts on what the storm will do.
I need to go through all our information and post again. Note that all three systems are expected to be Hurricanes by two days. (Possibly sooner)
For more information on Cindy see the Current Storm Spotlight for Cindy.
For more information on Dennis see the Current Storm Spotlight for Dennis.
For more information on Emily see the Current Storm Spotlight for Emily.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop
More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.