CFHC Talkback For News Story #93:
Newest Talkback: 04:02 PM 09-07 EDT

TD#7 to Move into Mexico and Other Systems
09:02 AM EDT - 06 September 1999

Quick note, what's left of Dennis is still dumping rain over North Carolina. I once lived in Raleigh, so I can imagine how that amount of rain can flood certain areas.

TD#7 is NOT acting like Bret, and is much closer to the Mexican coast that Bret was. It most likely will go fully inland (it's almost at that point now) later today over Mexico without strengthening all that much.

In the rest of the Atlantic, there is a wave in the Central Atlantic that still bears watching, and a smaller wave near to the Lesser Antilles that also has flared up this morning.

We will be watching. For more information on TD#7 see the Current Storm Spotlight for TD#7.
Some Forecast models: (NGM, AVN, MRF, ECMWF, ETA)
DoD weather models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Weather Channel Caribbean Sat Image
Intellicast Caribbean IR Loop
Intellicast Atlantic IR Loop

More Sat images: [N.A. visible] (visible -- Daytime Only) [N.A. infrared] (infrared), and [N.A. water vapor] (water vapor)--Nasa source.


- [mac]

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Displaying Talkbacks #1 - #9 (of 30 total)
STRONG DEVELOPMENT SOON ?????????? (#1)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 11:14AM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWV*)

Good afternoon TD#7 has vanished inland as i expected, Now all eye's need to be watching the ATLANTIC as i still expect a DEPRESSION to develop later in the day or by tomorrow, this system again could be a big player later in the week, as the tropical ridge is starting to build in the Atlantic, this ridge could send this system very far west before it ever curves to the north, ill have much more on this system later today, Mike Anderson Florida wx.
POSSIBLE DEVELOPING AREA SOUTH OF PENSACOLA ? (#2)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 12:02PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWV*)

an area of convection is developing in the NE gulf, this area is showing sign's of organization, this system is moving south east, information is very limited on this feature, However i would not be shocked if a depression is also forming in this area,or trying to.Residents along the westtern florida coast should keep in tune to the latest forecasts on this developing feature, some models hint at this system moving south and east, if this system develops it would move across the state and out in to the Atlantic, Again please keep an eye on this system, Mike Anderson florida wx.
System in the NE Gulf (#3)
Posted by: Colleen Atwater Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 12:49PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (RPUNQXXNQYVNUS*)

I was just going to post on that system in the NE Gulf of Mexico. It looks pretty well organized and I was going to ask Mike to comment on it, but he beat me to the punch. I think we should really keep on eye on that one as the water is extremely warmt this time of year. Being that we are located near the west coast of Florida, it should be very interesting to watch whether it develops into anything or not.
DEPRESSION # 8 COULD BE FORMING IN THE N.E. GULF (#4)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 01:09PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWV*)

I have been going over information , and have come up with a ship reporting a sustained at 35, also strong convection is firing up close to what i think is some kind of a center, water spouts have been reported in the area, sugesting that a deep feature is out in the area, im not ready to go all out on this but i do think something tropical is getting it's act together in the area, again i would not be shocked to find a Depression developing, have not found any big pressure drops as of yet but im still looking, ill be on all day , as far as i can tell the system is heading S.E. very slow, again residents along the west florida coast should keep an eye on this system, as time would be a factor if tropical development did come in to play, Mike Anderson florida WX.
NE Gulf? (#5)
Posted by: David Conner
Posted On 01:51PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRQNWSNRRR*)

What makes you think that this has a chance to develop? I see it as a flareup that will die down tomorrow. But who knows.

Thanks for the commentary, though!



RE David Connor (#6)
Posted by: Mike Anderson
Posted On 02:00PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRPQNQWV*)

Well David, what makes me think it could develop, well let's see, 1 the water temps are running high in that area, 2 We just might be in the hart of hurricane season 3 the system is showing some kind of circulation,4 The same thing that has made me think on all the systems this year, in case you have not read my postings all year, 5 im not just a simple person posting at this site,6 if it does develop ill be waiting to hear where you think ot will go and how big it will be. Mike FL WX.
NE Gulf (#7)
Posted by: David Conner
Posted On 02:04PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (VSNRQNWSNRRR*)

Well I do have to admit it looks like it could happen (just watched the Weather Channel) and you have a list of very good reasons to go along with it, but I'm optimistic in hoping that nothing will come of it. I'm on the west coast of Florida. I'll be watching it though.

If something does manage to get its act together how much development could happen before any type of landfall? I don't need a storm over here!

Thanks,

Dave
NE Gulf Disturbance (#8)
Posted by: Ronn Raszetnik, Jr. Location: Largo, Florida
Posted On 02:22PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (RPWNVYNTUNTY*)

The convective cluster in the northeast Gulf of Mexico is simply a weak upper level disturbance. In my opinion, the disturbance will weaken considerably by tomorrow and fail to develop. This thunderstorm cluster is nothing more than a typical eruption of storms over the Gulf of Mexico in response to an upper level feature. As usual, waterspouts often accompany thunderstorms over the warm Gulf of Mexico so I don't think that we can use this as evidence of a developing tropical feature. The disturbance is also moving south at a fairly swift pace. As a result, the system will not have time to remain over water for the length necessary for the transformation of upper level to tropical.

God Bless You,
Ronn Raszetnik, Jr.
Lakeland Monster (#9)
Posted by: mary
Posted On 02:32PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QRNWWNQVRNQYQ*)

The urban Lakeland monster will not allow anything tropical to come to the west coast. Look at all the near misses we have had over the last 60 years. It is an interesting feature though and before I came here to check this afternoon I commented to my husband that the weather looked like we had tropical squall lines in the area. I thought it might be stuff off of the other two systems paying a visit. I had not turned on the weather channel or this page til now. I am glad my powers of observation are getting better.
NE Gulf (#10)
Posted by: Colleen Atwater Location: Lakeland, Florida
Posted On 02:35PM 06-Sep-1999 with id (QURNQVSNRQSNTX*)

You guys all need to chill out. Mike, no offense, but not everyone posts here everyday and I don't think you should have been so hard on David. It is true that we see alot of storms like this one in the Gulf, but all the reasons you listed are very valid ones of why we should be watching it very closely. As far as this system goes, I don't think it's moving all that rapidly to the South. I know the other system ahead of it has been plaguing West Central Florida for the last 8 or so hours and that I haven't really seen the other one move. By the way, why don't you tell them what you do for a living Mike, instead of saying you're not a "simple person"....like the rest of us.
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