F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 239 (Idalia) , Major: 239 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 239 (Idalia) Major: 239 (Idalia)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Weather Bloggers >> Resident Meteorologist Discussions
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
KN4LF
Unregistered




Dennis Turns North Again
      #41548 - Sun Jul 10 2005 02:17 PM

#61 Published Sunday July 10, 2005 at 9:45 am EDT
http://www.kn4lf.com/flwx1.htm

At the 9:00 am EDT advisory Hurricane Dennis has a sustained wind of 145 mph, a strong CAT 4 cyclone. He is at position 28.7 N 86.4 W with a minimum barometric pressure of 27.46". He is currently on a north heading or approximately 000 degrees at a speed of 16 mph. During the past 12 hours he has been wobbling on a heading between approximately 330-000 degrees.

Looking at the latest satellite imagery Dennis appears primed to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle and hopefully this will stop him from further strengthening. The wind shear that I had forecasted to develop and keep Dennis as a strong CAT 3 and only flirting with CAT 4 has not had an impact as of yet. But hopefully he will weaken back to a CAT 3 before landfall. A number of posts back I did state that Dennis was a similar stubborn storm like Ivan, in that it makes it's own rules and that's what Dennis has done.

After several days of holding firm on my predicted landfall window of between Pensacola and Fort Walton Beach on Sunday, I shifted the landfall window eastward to between Fort Walton Beach and Panama City. Well it looks like my original landfall forecast was correct, so I'm back to a Pensacola and Fort Walton Beach for the early afternoon today.

Of course the exact landfall point of the cyclone center is a mute point as a large area is going to be blasted with horrific wind and storm surge. Dennis is stronger than Charley and will probably be the worst landfalling storm in the U.S. since CAT 5 Andrew in 1992 and the worst on the Gulf Coast since CAT 5 Camille in 1969. This is truly a tragic situation that is unfolding in the Florida Panhandle.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 3 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 2950

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center