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Archives 2010s >> 2012 Storm Forum
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cieldumort
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Reged:
Posts: 2305
Loc: Austin, Tx
Area of Interest: Tropical Storm Joyce
      #93246 - Mon Aug 20 2012 04:19 PM

A weak and sloppy tropical wave located south of the Cape Verde islands is being tracked as Invest 96L.

So far, 96L has had some intermittent, disorganized showers and an occasional thunderstorm. Maximum sustained winds are mostly in the 10-15 MPH range, and the minimum barometric pressure is estimated to be 1010mb, at best.

Invest 96L is following several hundred miles behind 94L, and moving west at about 15-20 MPH.

This wave is in an environment of low shear and moderate to high atmospheric water vapor, and with SSTs virtually all across the Atlantic between the equator and about 30N now supportive, 96L has a chance to develop.

(Title changed to reflect system upgrade.)

Edited by cieldumort (Thu Aug 23 2012 05:41 PM)

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Area of Interest - TS Joyce in Central Atlantic [Re: cieldumort]
      #93304 - Wed Aug 22 2012 01:54 PM

At 22/12Z, Tropical Depression 10 (upgrade expected at 22/15Z) was located in the central tropical Atlantic at 12.2N 35.7W with winds of 30 knots and central pressure of 1007MB. Movement west to west northwest at 15-20 knots. Circulation envelope and convection have increased considerably overnight. In about 24 hours the TD is going to encounter some strong westerly shear so development likely to be rather slow - at least initially - with this system. If the TD survives the shear, the cyclone will get captured by the same trough that is soon to influence Isaac and it should keep this system at sea with an eventual turn to the north.
ED

(Title changed to reflect current storm status.)

Edited by Ed Dunham (Thu Aug 23 2012 11:18 PM)

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