danielwAdministrator
(Moderator)
Sun Sep 07 2008 10:21 AM
Re: intensity forecasts for Ike will be a crap shoot

Quote:

Central and South Florida is out of the cone. There is no chance of it coming here.




Until the storm... any storm is north of your location there is still a slight change, or 50/ 50 chance, of the storm hitting your location.

Hurricane Ivan in 2004 is a perfect example.
Hurricane Charley was forecast to hit Tampa and turned NE.
I could go on and on.

A Storm in the GOM or Caribbean requires a minimum of checking the Storms status and forecast every 6 hours. Regardless of whether you are in the Cone or not.

My personal opinion and not necessarily that of the Management or Administration.