just wondering, AEMN, NGPS, CLP5, and HWRF, have pretty much stuck to a more north then north east curve, like most earlier thought Ike would go. are these dependable models? i know most times everyone says you cant really forcast a hurricane till it passes over, or has some sort of interaction with Cuba, seems hurricanes have done weird things after land interaction, is this the same with Ike? i need to give notice to NHC, with Gustav they were right on, a long way off, they nailed it. i didnt think they had a clue last time but they were right on!! respect given,, just hope they are wrong this time!!! anyways about the modeling,, is it kind of a toss up until it gets past cuba??