Thunderbird12
(Meteorologist)
Mon Sep 08 2008 01:34 PM
Re: The NHC forecast is only good for 3 day, after 72 hrs a sharp short wave will pick IKE up

The global models (GFS, ECMWF, Canadian) for several days have consistently forecast Ike to grow considerably in size once it reaches the Gulf, though they have disagreed with themselves and each other on the track. Whether or not it becomes a large and intense hurricane, or simply a large cyclone that is not particularly intense, will depend in part on what kind of shape it is in upon reaching the Gulf.