Looking at model data this evening there will be two windows of opportunity; one right now and the next in about 5 days as ridging retrogrades from east to west and sets up shop over the GOM. It's whether Richard will be viable when the second opportunity becomes available. The last couple of systems that moved over the Yucatan did not weaken as rapid as models or NHC predicted and that will have to be watched as well. We're just going to have to wait and see what emerges in the GOM in a few days and how strong or weak Richard is at that point in time. It is late October and zonal flow will be over the USA and the westerlies are now as south as the Northern GOM.