(Weather Analyst)
Sun Oct 31 2010 12:45 PM
Re: Tomas Forecast Lounge

Tomas downgraded to Cat I (90 MPH) at 11 AM ET due to shear and dry air intrusion. The vis sat signature is rather ragged for now. The shear is forecast to relax in a couple of days and strengthening should resume. It does appear that a new feeder is trying to form on the southern side in the WV loop.

EDIT: As of the 5 PM ET Advisory, Tomas is further weakened to 75 MPH sustained and may even weaken to TS strength by tomorrow AM, still due to the shear and dry air intrusion. The intensity forecast has been lowered as well, with Tomas probably not gaining major status in the next 5 days.

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