LoisCane
(Veteran Storm Chaser)
Sat Jun 23 2012 11:55 PM
Re: Debby Forecast Lounge

think the GFS is more viable than originally one would think tho would say it moves West eventually and slings off a vortex that develops towards the East...

or it's just picking up on competing centers...

hard call for them to make, if they have to make changes they will...nothing is carved in stone

curious to see next set of runs (we always say that i know but so true with this storm)

a door was left open in the discussion at 11 pm to make changes down the road if they are warranted

"MULTIPLE
LOW-LEVEL VORTICES HAVE BEEN OUT FROM UNDERNEATH THE EASTERN
SEMICIRCLE CONVECTIVE CLOUD MASS ABOUT A MEAN CENTER OF ROTATION OF
A LARGER GYRE...AND THE LOCATION OF THE LARGER STATIONARY GYRE IS
THE ADVISORY POSITION. ALTHOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME SLIGHT
NORTHEASTWARD MOTION DUE TO REDEVELOPMENT OF THE CENTER CLOSER TO
THE DEEP CONVECTION...THE GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR
SO SHOULD BE SLOWLY POLEWARD. "