It seems the westerly track may be what's favored, but it may be going too far west, and I'm concerned that initialization on the models isn't that great for it. (Especially the Euro). Trends may continue west, but I think they will get overdone and eventually trend east again. In short Gulf coast through Florida and the east coast will need to watch it through the weekend.

Models may be more useful Friday, depending on how the Gultstream jet and initializations are done and if Isaac ever gets itself together, recon is still out looking for real winds, when it should be pretty easy to spot.