I am amazed at the appearance of this system. If you watch the WV it seems the moisture is just evaporating especially in the vicinity where one would expect a convective core to be developing. From the visible, I would actually peg the center at 15.6 or so and not 16. This is the issue all along, the lowest point of pressure may be at 16, but the cloud presentation suggests some other point.. What shear is effecting this system? It seems some southerly shear may be part of the problem too. Still very disorganized...no evidence of consolidation or intensification.