vpbob21
(Weather Guru)
Thu Jul 25 2013 03:44 AM
Re: Invest 98E (East Pacific) Lounge

As of 11:00 EDT (8:00 PDT) this has been upgraded to TD 6-E, about 2200 miles ESE of Hilo.

This looks like one of those typical systems that form in this area and run into the wall of low SST's and end up reaching the islands as a low cloud swirl. Generally speaking these systems have to stay below about 15N to be able to reach the longitude of the Hawaiian islands as more than a dying TD (such as 1994's John, which actually reached the Western Pacific - a 3-basin storm!). This one is not even predicted by NHC to reach hurricane status before hitting 24-25 deg. SST's in about 3 days. Hopefully there may be enough left of the system to bring some rain to the islands, especially the Big Island, parts of which are in extreme drought.



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