danielw
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| (Moderator) |
| Tue Aug 13 2013 08:03 PM |
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Re: Invest 92L Forecast Lounge
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Looking at the 18Z GFS Ensemble runs.
For 2AM EDT Saturday. The lowest pressure and highest forecast wind speed for 92L.
58 kts, or 67mph and 1003.6mb
Location of 92L at 2 AM Saturday varies from Just North of the Bay of Campeche to the Mouth of the MS River in Louisiana to over the Tallahasse, FL area. Lots of play in the ensemble.
20 members in the ensemble.
Of the 10 members with 2 closed isobars, they are forecast between The Mouth of the MS River and Apalachicola,FL with one exception being the one just north of the BOC.
Canadian is slower and brings 92L into Pensacola,FL area Saturday night at 998mb and 45 kts, 52mph.
Way under what a 998mb could be, 77mph