Conditions have changed since Ed brought our attention to this feature.

Currently, TPC has heightened the area to a high chance for development. The outlook is uncertain out in time, as usual. This time it is because, although currently the system has acquired good upper level outflow, southwest shear is slated to evolve as the system [ likely ] moves northwest, then toward the north or northeastern Gulf.

Nevertheless, currently the system appears very near enough organization to initiate advisories, when observing high resolution satellite loops. As said it has very good upper level anticyclonic outflow. It has a cyclonic banded appearance on late day imagery, and parcels of very cold cloud top convection erupting near the perceived axis of rotation.

Recon was supposed to investigate this disturbance this afternoon.

John