6Z GFS develops it but moves the storm over Haiti and most of Cuba before turning into the Gulf and landfalling at the TX/MX border, much weaker than last runs. it still develops it before the islands int he Caribbean and moves it in as a strong Tropical Storm or Hurricane Friday night into Saturday morning.

The overnight Euro run doesn't do much with the system at all. One of these two is very wrong, based on the Atlantic conditions, I'm not buying the GFS runs from the last day or two at all.

In short, too early to say with this wave, but I think the GFS idea is wrong.