To balance out the 0z gfs run, the 0z Euro run weakens it a bit before crossing over the Leeward islands on Wednesday then rapidly weakens it in the eastern Caribbean and it gets torn up near Hispaniola and brings some rain to Jamaica as a weak low, Friday August 11th. Interesting to note that the The Euro is faster with the system forward movement than the GFS.

The GFS shifted back a bit east, missing the Bahamas and Florida this time, gets very close to Cape Hatteras on Aug 15th and close to Cape Cod on the 16th, but it stays east and recurves it out.

The Euro halso has a strong rdige, but it keeps the system in the Caribbean. So the 50/50 shot for going north or through the islands is still there.

System is important to watch, but way too early to say where it winds up.