scottsvb
(Weather Master)
Thu Sep 07 2017 05:19 PM
Re: HURRICANE IRMA LOUNGE

Not that it matters too much but the 12Z Ukmet is about the same.. maybe not as far west but still has more of a S-N component on days 3-4 to take it up the state... 12Z CMC again shifted west to be closer to the UKMet almost... waiting on GEM still.. but these 3 models aren't what we really go by.. just see them as if a trend might happen. GFS 12Z slightly west but not much.. Euro still waiting. Will note the Nam also went west but that's the last model we only glance at for hurricanes. If the 12Z Euro shows a more west via the CMC and UKmet...then we'll have to see if the GFS keeps slightly going west.. and it's the short term movement that will determine the landfall.. further south it stays thru saturday (and how fast it moves west) before the turn will determine the landfall location in Florida (or off the coast via 6Z and 12Z GFS)


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