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NHC also needs to adjust the track based on current movement ( due NORTH ). Unless it starts a NW movement now, it will be far more inland that NHC is projecting.
Why do they need to adjust their track? Is the 5pm track not correct?
The 5pm track is not correct as Irma has been going 350 degrees (just west of North) since 11am. The forecast track is at NNW or about 335 degrees. At this point the track has the core going over Tampa but over the last 8 hours the consistent track will now take Irma further inland and more closely over Lakeland than Tampa.
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Re: HURRICANE IRMA LOUNGE