I'm watching this for myself to, GFS, NOGAPS, HRMWF, and UKMEt hint at a developing storm in the Western Carribean and that's deffinatly an uh oh for this time of year.. The GFS is back and forth with the storm on the long range and on some runs, gets it into the GOM before recurving and threatning Florida. This is the one to watch and I think it's coming from that small wave before the big wave in the CATL. If this holds, I would not rule out a major Hurricane sice Wilma formed as fast as she did in the area with similiar conditions. Something is bound to develop soon anyways, with La Nina in town, Hurricane Season will not give up without one last fight!

Oh the reason why i'm also showing the HRMWF even if there's no storm in the ATL, look at Kikos model run but look to the Western Carribean, shows a low pressure in there moving north.