Well it looks like Erika is not on the immediate horizon. TD6 is no more, although a slight chance does exit for regeneration - but not for a few days. I thought that this one had an opportunity but no excuses - not a very good forecast. For those of you who forecast as a hobby or those who are considering Meteorology as a profession, don't be discouraged when a forecast doesn't pan out. Just try to figure out why, learn from the experience, and move on to the next forecast (and keep in mind that sometimes it takes a lifetime of learning). Prerequisites for this business are a thick skin and an open mind. Don't 'crow' too much on a good forecast. For one thing, folks will expect that of you (and no one wants to hear that, because there will be plenty of times when you will have no opportunity whatsoever to 'crow'

). Meteorology is a challenge which can sometimes be both frustrating and rewarding in the same day.

TD6 probably fell victim to a very dry surrounding environment. Earlier today the WV showed a system totally surrounded by dry air - even to the east where it had already traveled!
Cheers,
ED