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When you think about, what could be some differences from last year that could have affected hurricane activity and landfall? I remember last year we had a relatively dry May- which would be conducive to a similar placement of Upper air features. The ENSO is fickle-but by the looks of things seems to be going neutral. Also factor in the cycle we're in, the time period from the late 40's and 50's and it seems like a active season has over a 50% chance of happening. |