Invest 90L is up and according to the latest TWO, it looks likely to become a TD in the next day or two.

Sat View

Models

This storm looks to at least threaten the islands, and then either threaten the SE or even Caribbean (once again).

Not to be overly dramatic, but with the once in a lifetime level of destruction possible from Katrina, it is doubtful that many of us here will be closely following 90L over the next 3-5 days. However, it may become a player (it would be Lee), so folks in the islands and Florida may want to keep the possibility of development in the back of their minds.

We've come a long way from our early August lull...

11:30 TWO: A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS CENTERED ABOUT 1450 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS INCREASED AND THIS SYSTEM CONTINUES TO SHOWS SIGNS OF GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT
10 TO 15 MPH.