At first glance, Invest 91L doesnâ€™t look like too much this morning â€“ even the wave behind it presents a greater convective coverage â€“ however 91L does have a small convective core at roughly 12.5N 40.5W at 02/12Z. The movement over the past 24 hours has been 300 degrees (west northwest) however that motion was more of a constant adjustment of the center as the system lifted out of the ITCZ. Current motion appears to be more westerly at roughly 15 knots and movement to the west to west northwest over the next couple of days seems likely. To compensate for the westward motion, in the short term I suspect that the models will adjust a little to the left. The system still needs to organize around the small convective core â€“ which will take some time, but classification as a Tropical Depression seems likely today.
ED