TD 6 maintaining a good overall appearance this evening with perhaps some increased convection starting closer to the center. Given this systems overall size and the fact that it has yet to fully seperate itself from the ITCZ, we might see a more westward near term motion than originally forecast. Regardless of whether TD 6 remains a little farther south in the near term, or even if models initiate with a more Westward motion, I do believe the 0Z model runs might shift slightly to the left. It would probably be prudent to NOT read much into this however.

At the point where TD6 consolidates and becomes fully detached from the ITCZ, its position and true motion will then be better defined. At such a time, perhaps 24 hours from now, the models will have a better handle on this system's sze, motion, and depth. Also, depending on whether TD6 deepens ( or how much ), will also permit the models to better and more accurately forecast a likely re-curve or potential greater risk to the Antilles. The next 24 hours' evolution of this system wil be very interesting to watch. Only after this additional period of formative development occurs however, should we concern ourselves with any real percieved shift in model guidance.

On an entirely different subject, there appears to be another impressive wave just about to emerge from the African coast.