cieldumort
(Moderator)
Wed May 31 2017 07:58 PM
Re: Outlook for 2017

My preferred analog years: 1951, 1996 and 2001 assuming no El Niño ... but with some deference to 1965 and/or 1972 should an El Niño develop this year, and develop prior to September.

Speaking just of the continental U.S., an above-average landfall risk along all of the Gulf states, the southeast, and all the way up the eastern seaboard to Canada. (An unusually larger and higher than average landfall risk area).

Much above-average chance of early season development/s, especially close to Mexico, Central America, and the U.S.

My 2017 total numbers forecast for the Atlantic basin: 14 Names, 7 Hurricanes, 3 Majors


~ In memory of Ed. Always inspiring, always insightful, always sincere. Rest in peace. ~



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