Well Ed, your over all named storm and hurricane count look OK, but there could be 3-5 majors instead of two like you forecast. I don't exactly think that the Cape Verde season will be quiet...but moderatly above average. A good majority of these will go fishing then off to hurricane hell...but I can't rule the possibility that one will make it close to the U.S. We must watch the Carribbean this year...below average SLPA's, significantly above avarage SST's and little wind sheer during the peak of the Carribbean season... a recipe for trouble. Northeast Carribbean will need to be watched as well for Florence type storms. And I'm talking about the Florence of 1953. A bit different from the past few years (2000/2001), but definitely not in a good way.