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Looks like landfall will be near Franklin, LA, as a Cat III. Baton Rouge is in the line of fire and should get wind gusts well over 100mph. Lili's eye should be near Franklin around 13Z. Storm surge vicinity Morgan City could get as high as 18 feet. Route 90 from New Iberia to Houma is likely to suffer considerable washout/debris damage. Anyone still within that coastal core area really needs to evacuate now - although Lili may weaken to a Category III at landfall, she will have generated a significant storm surge as a result of her rapid intensification on Wednesday. The core area will experience a rapid rise in water level just prior to and coincident with landfall. Be smart and stay safe! ED |