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Shawn: I'm just as anxious as you are to see what happens to the convection when it gets out over the Gulf of Mexico sometime tommorrow. Even though it's an upper-level feature, with the weak steering currents it may get the time it needs to brew. I don't think this one will go totally unnoticed. I'm still saying no development until at least Thursday, if at all. 95L: The structure has actually improved over the last few hours on satellite. More convection has also developed around the LLC, which btw is not closed off. I'll wait untill sometime tommorrow to make a call on this system. If it improves overnight, I'll bump my 30% for development back up to 50%, at least. Time will tell. Kevin |