000
WONT41 KNHC 141832
DSAAT
SPECIAL TROPICAL DISTURBANCE STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT SUN JUL 14 2002

SURFACE...RADAR...AND SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS THIS AFTERNOON INDICATE
THAT THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF
NORTH CAROLINA HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED AND MAY BE ACQUIRING
TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS. AT 2 PM EDT...THE CENTER OF THE LOW
PRESSURE AREA WAS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN WILMINGTON AND CAPE
LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA. A SHIP LOCATED ABOUT 85 MILES EAST OF THE
CENTER RECENTLY REPORTED SOUTHERLY WINDS TO NEAR TROPICAL STORM OR
GALE FORCE IN SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS.

SHOULD THIS SYSTEM DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL
STORM...IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH
AND REMAIN JUST OFFSHORE THE COAST OF NORTH CAROLINA. AS SUCH...ANY
SIGNIFICANT WINDS WILL ALSO LIKELY REMAIN OFFSHORE AND MAINLY BE A
HAZARD TO SHIPPING INTERESTS. HOWEVER...A SLIGHT DEVIATION TO THE
NORTH WOULD BRING THE CENTER AND THE STRONGER WINDS CLOSER TO THE
COAST. ALL INTERESTS IN THE VICINITY OF THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA...THE OUTER BANKS AND ADJACENT ATLANTIC WATERS SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM IN THE EVENT TROPICAL
CYCLONE ADVISORIES AND ANY WARNINGS ARE REQUIRED LATER THIS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

FORECASTER STEWART

Me: I say TD. or TS by 4, but it won't hit or brush NC. Watch out for high surf along carolina coast.