well ssd analyzed a too weak circulation with 90L yesterday evening and nothing since. i doubt there is anything at the surface with it, and the convection is healthy and persistent but not very vigorous or widespread. persistence is really all it has going for it.. hasnt shown much in the way of organization.. so far.
have to admit the wave at 42 (looks like 44 to me) is pretty well defined.. just devoid of convection. entering the big subsidence patch that seems to reside east of the islands this time of year.. but on the other side waves tend to pick up convection. when/if that happens it should be more interesting. the vortmax on the axis seems to be at 15 or 16N.. will probably be near the upper lesser antilles in about 2 days.
gulf isnt showing any organization, just a tendency for convection to keep firing and some wind curvature at the surface off west florida.
northwest atlantic cyclone is low on convection and already moving NE.
dont see anything developing before thursday, and it's fairly likely nothing will form this week.
HF 1910z12august