I'm assuming it's in response to reconsiderations given the overall pattern of the Gulf this year. As I noted the other day, I sent pointcounterpoint an e-mail (specifically to Ken Reeves) asking him to pen Joe down as to whether or not he feels like the northern Gulf season is over based on his forecast of 1/1.7 - seeing as we've already had 1/1. I decided to write this after he mentioned early last week that he would not be altering his landfall/intensity forecast. As noted, he hedged a bit today on the Long Ranger, but it remains to be seen if his forecast from Boothville to Apalachacola verifies.

Steve