Well, just over 1 week before the official start of the season, but it seems mother nature cant wait! This Tropical Disturbance will have to survive the next 12 to 24 hours to really stand much of a chance i think. At present the convection is sheared off to the east, but upper level conditions become more favourable during the next 24 hours. This means that if it can hold together, it may develop further. I certainly intend to watch it very closely, it could be the first out of season Tropical Cyclone i have tracked... who knows