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I just saw this on the last visible loop. This movement shouldn't lead anybody to a definite solution, though. Hanna has a track record of wobbling...so could just be a flucuation. If the recent burst of convection near the center sustains itself, intensifies, or expands I'd expect some strengthening tonight. Nothing is in stone yet...we'll see what 5 PM NHC advisory says. Future Isidore is going through a bit of a dowturn in convection today...just a stage developing systems go through. Expect it to rebound tonight and really crank up tomorrow. Recon may just find a surprise if they go in there tomorrow. Nearly all of the models show at least a respectable TC moving through Caribbean early next week. With such great agreement among the models I really can't argue against this not developing into something significant eventually. It will just take time. My thoughts on this in the storm forum will come soon. Kevin Expericing some heavy rain and gusty winds here from outer bands of "Hanna". |