Well I think we will have to see what evolves out of this system. The closed circulation is definitely hitting Venezuela now...the question is, will it get a northerly component to take it away from the SA coast?? Or, will that die and the wave develop one further north? Odds are that the one hitting Venezuela right now will come further NW with time and build as it moves into the central Carib, then tkae a track that is further west (eventually towards the Keys). But if it does not survive will it spawn a new low futher north. I'm way too impatient, so I better chill and watch. But this TD could have significant impacts down the road IF it stays together. Cheers!! Steve H.