now the apparent focus for a low is between jamaica and cape gracias a dios. the particular spot doesnt look all that bad as far as shear. convection is sort of slowly pivoting about it, not really going all that crazy, but it has that stewing look to it as opposed to convection bursting under shear striving to hold steady. all we need is for convection to begin in earnest now...
well, been waiting for days. if this joker does anything it will be on its on time.
by the way bastardi talks about another window in ten to fifteen or so. might as well, this season was supposed to start early. and i guessed july for a first storm.. looks like such a bad call now.