Bruce
(Weather Guru)
Wed Sep 18 2002 10:14 AM
Re: Isidore and Josephine forms. Forecasting Nightmare Deluxe

SAT-TUE...PERIOD COMPLETELY DEPENDENT ON TRACK OF THE TD/TS OR EVEN
HURRICANE BY THIS POINT. THE GFS KEEPS THE H5 RIDGE OVER FL THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND IS INDICATING A MORE WESTWARD TRACK IN THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. WILL BE INTERESTING TO SEE WHAT NHC HAS TO SAY. IF THE GFS
VERIFIES WILL BEGIN DRYING OUT SUN AS THE SYSTEM MOVE WEST AWAY FROM
THE AREA AND WIND MAY BE LESS OF A FACTOR...BUT SHOULD NOTE UPR
PATTERNS SEEM TO FAVOR THE CEN GULF MORE AND NOT BUYING THE WSW MVMT
OF THE GFS. GIVEN THE HIGH UNCERTAINTY WILL NOT DEVIATE FM THE
CURRENT FORECAST...SHOWING CHC/SCT POPS THRU MON AND WINDY
CONDITIONS OVR THE WEEKEND.
Melbourne forecast