Unless something drastically happens in the next 12 hours I would doubt that the NHC would send a recon to the area of disturbed weather off the coast of Central America in the Caribbean. At least thats my opinion at the moment ... Obviously if convection flares up again later tonight or in the early morning it may warrant a recon, time will tell. I would think its less than 50/50.

Actually the area in the Bahamas has a better IR signature than that of the Caribbean at the moment. Albeit the area in the Caribbean doesn't have any deep convection associated with it and the pressures have been relatively high all day...

Two areas that just can't get their acts together... hey it's early.