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FWIW, 00Z was 17 hours ago. I still don't know if the storm gets past 90 W, but don't put ANY stock in the 00z models. I've got a post in the last thread at the top of page 13 explaining my reasoning, but basically it seems like the Northerly relocation of the center yesterday afternoon played big into those ideas. Look at the 06z GFDL run and you'll already notice a change further back to the west - and that would have been data from 1am while the storm was still moving N-NNW because it didn't take that westerly jog until the wee hours. Look for that to show up in the 18z runs. I just hate that these things are so far behind. Of course it's my own fault for relying on the PSU site rather than going to the official model sources. Steve |