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Until the storm gets past Cuba. I think we are getting close to the point where we will lose the Air Force recon for a few days and be left with only the upper-air Noaa Gulfstream observations. I don't know how well Cuba land stations are distrubuted, so it may be that the models are going to be going on less data for the next 24-36 hours very soon. Once the Air Force recon can restart on the other side of Cuba, I think the models will reestablish themselves better. For now, might as well roll dice and pick a route. There are good arguments for a lot of cases. |