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I agree w/ Sir Cane. Check out climatology when the models are too divergent. A good track climatology site is http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ Just click on Isidore and "historical track", and you will see a plot of all similar storms (meaning by month, TD TS or H, and by 300 mile proximity) since 1886. In Isi's case, I see two clusters of climatology tracks. One is AL-MS-FL panhandle as previously stated (about 6-8 tracks). The other cluster is clearly the FL peninsula (6-8 more tracks). Relatively absent is the TX/MX pathway. Right now, I say P' Cola to Appalachicola. climate history buff - Orlando |