NOGAPS AND OTHER MODELS BEGINNING TO AGREE ON THIS, NOGAPS MISSING THE TROUGH HEADING W. IS MY GUT FORCASTING CALL OF A TAMPICO MID WEEK COMING TRUE? ANYWAYS, ISADORE IS A HURRICANE WHEN THE RECON GETS IN THERE. MY FORCAST REMAINS SIMPLE. SHE WILL CONTINUE A GENERAL WNW TRACK WITH WOBBLES NW. ALL MODELS AGREE ON BEING NEAR 23N AND 85 W NOW IN 36 HOURS. AFTER THAT SOME MODEL PICK UP THE SYSTEM AS IT BECOMES A MAJOR HURRICANE AND PUSH IT NNE INTO W FLORIDA OR NEAR THE PANHANDLE. OTHERS TAKE HER W OR EVEN WSW ARE THE YUCITAN OF MEXICO NEAR 72 HOURS. MY 8-10 DAY OUT PREDICTION OF A MIAMI TO N OF TAMPA IS STILL THERE IN JUST WATCH HER. BUT AFTER I SAW THE TROUGH WONT FULLY GET HER, I BACKED OFF THAT AND SAID IN HERE THAT SHE WILL PROBABLY THEN MISS THE TROUGH AND HEAD LIKE THE AVN AND MOVE W OR SW AS SHE WILL BE VERY STRONG, REMEMBER MITCH HOW HE GOT SO STONG HE BACKED SW INTO HODURAS, THIS MIGHT ACTUALLY HAPPEN THOUGH I DOUBT HIT THE YUCITAN, AFTER THAT IT COULD CONTINUE INTO THE SW GULF AND TURN NW TO MAKE LANDFALL SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE MID NEXT WEEK. AGAIN THIS IS MY 7 DAY FORCAST AGAIN. IVE BEEN RIGHT ON THE MONEY AGAIN IN THESE 72 HOUR FORCASTS AND CANT DISAGREE TO MYSELF ON WHY IT WONT BE NEAR 23.5 AND 84.5 LATE SATURDAY MOVING LITTLE, THE FIRST TROUGH WILL MISS THE SYSTEM BUT ON A OUTSIDE NOTE IF THE NEXT SURGE COMES DOWN FAST ENOUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK IT COULD PULL THE SYSTEM N AND NE TOWARDS THE W FLORIDA COAST OR PANHANDLE INTO MONDAY AND TUESDAY. PRETTY MUCH FOLKS FIRST 6O HOURS IS A 90% BET. AFTER THAT I TEND TO AGREE WITH THE AVN. THOUGH I DONT RULE OUT THE NEXT TROUGH GRABBING THIS LATER SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK PUSHING THIS OFF TO THE NNE. THIS IS A 30% PUSH OFF. ILL GIVE A NEW FORCAST AGAIN LATER TOMORROW. SCOTTSVB HURRICANEUPDATECENTER