I don't know now about it staying east of the Isle of Youth. It's jogging N then W theNW then W, now WNW. BTW, the GFDL, AVN & UKMET now have a more westerly track on the 12Z run. At 0Z Friday they will go right again. But the AVN and UKMET show a large ridge over the central US. Does this make sense guys??? A lot is riding on the Ridge/Trough/Ridge placement with the AVN. Usually 12Z AVN runs are discarded, but sometimes not. It is interesting that the UKMET joins the AVN in AAlmost bringing this into the BOC but not quite. Maybe Izzy wants to tour the GOM before heading for Orlando to fly back home. Cheers!!