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If this thing stall north of the Yucatan and does nothing but meandering, Florida had better start preparing for a big time diaster. Many storms that stall north of the Yucatan tend to move NE and into the Florida Big Bend area. Gordon did this a couple of years ago. Here in Orlando we didn't get anything horrible but you could definitely tell a tropical system was to our north. Now plug in a larger storm at category 3 or category 4 intensity. Basically, if Isidore stalls north of the Yucatan there is a very good chance in my mind that Isidore may effect the Big Bend area as a major hurricane. I am certain a N and NE track will occur, but the question is when it will occur. The upper-level pattern early next week will tell the story, and it may not be a good story at that. Kevin |